( - promoted by TimO)
In the latest War Street Journal Battleground States Poll, Pederson has closed the gap to within 4 points with a 3.7% margin of error. This is way closer than any of the previous polls. They have Kyl at 48.3% and Pederson at 44.2%.
What is odd about the short analysis is they say "Arizona's senate race is shaping up to be a GOP hold. Jon Kyl has maintained his modest (lead) over Democratic State Chairman Jim Pederson -- though he is again polling under 50%."
Then below the show two previous polls which show a Kyl rout!
Rassmussen (07/18) Kyl 53% Pederson 34%
ASU (06/15-18) Kyl 43% Pederson 29%
So the gap is closing dramatically, but it's "shaping up to be a GOP hold"? I don't get it!?!
Frankly, I didn't think it was that close yet. I've talked to people through phone banking, at Dem. meetings and personal friends, and whenever you bring up Pederson you get odd looks.
"When is Pederson going to start campaigning?"
"I don't know about Pederson, I don't know what he's about."
I was phone banking in Tempe and there were four questions gauging support for our canadidates.
"Would you reelect Janet? Would you vote for Terry Goddard? Would you vote for Jim Pederson? Will you support the initiative to raise the minimum wage?"
All the Dems, love Janet! All the Dems support minimum wage increase. Terry Goddard? Yea I think so.
Jim Pederson? One emphatic, "No Way!" and the rest of the respondents said, "When is he going to start campaigning?"
Somebody brew some coffee and get down to Pederson head quarters! They need to get out and kiss some babies!
I did see him at Tempe Town Lake on the 4th of July, and he did get out for the "Wake up Walmart!" Rally, but other than die hard Dem activists and blog junkies, average Arizonans don't even know events like the Walmart gig are going on.
Maybe he can sit in a dunk tank at the State Fair?
I saw Kyl's ad on "Meet the Press" this morning, but no Pederson ad; unless I missed it, but I don't think I moved my ass from the recliner the whole show! (By the way Pumpkinhead Russert spent way too much time on a minor gaffe Mayor of NOLA, Ray Nagin made regarding "Ground Zero". Don't be an idiot Tim!)
Pederson's Calender of Events is pathetic! It has one phone banking event in August and the next event listed is ELECTION DAY! November 7th! WTF?
I hope he's hiding out cramming for some debates, because if he's not, I don't know what he's doing! |